Fantasy Football Rankings 2019-2020: TE (Half PPR)

By:  Justin Holden

Lit Sports Online brings you fantasy football rankings for the 2019-2020 NFL season.  Today’s article covers tight end rankings in a half PPR scoring format.  Not only do we provide a ranked list of tight ends, but you will also see regular season stat projections for each player.  Then, a brief summary will be written on a few players that we see as significantly more valuable or less valuable versus their average draft position (ADP).  Without further ado, here are the rankings:

Rank Player Name Team Name Projected Stat Line
1 Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs 97 catches, 1250 yds, 9 TDs
2 O.J. Howard Tampa Bay Buccaneers 71 catches, 1070 yds, 9 TDs
3 George Kittle San Francisco 49ers 82 catches, 1100 yds, 5 TDs
4 Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles 85 catches, 1140 yds, 3 TDs
5 Vance McDonald Pittsburgh Steelers 72 catches, 960 yds, 4 TDs
6 Jared Cook New Orleans Saints 63 catches, 830 yds, 6 TDs
7 Hunter Henry Los Angeles Chargers 65 catches, 800 yds, 6 TDs
8 Evan Engram New York Giants 69 catches, 850 yds, 4 TDs
9 Chris Herndon New York Jets 62 catches, 810 yds, 5 TDs
10 Jordan Reed Washington Redskins 60 catches, 780 yds, 5 TDs
11 David Njoku Cleveland Browns 56 catches, 720 yds, 5 TDs
12 Jack Doyle Indianapolis Colts 54 catches, 660 yds, 5 TDs
13 Trey Burton Chicago Bears 53 catches, 630 yds, 4 TDs
14 Austin Hooper Atlanta Falcons 56 catches, 610 yds, 4 TDs
15 Kyle Rudolph Minnesota Vikings 54 catches, 590 yds, 4 TDs
16 Eric Ebron Indianapolis Colts 48 catches, 550 yds, 5 TDs
17 Delanie Walker Tennessee Titans 51 catches, 580 yds, 4 TDs
18 Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers 57 catches, 550 yds, 3 TDs
19 Jimmy Graham Green Bay Packers 50 catches, 510 yds, 4 TDs
20 Dallas Goedert Philadelphia Eagles 39 catches, 400 yds, 6 TDs
21 Mark Andrews Baltimore Ravens 44 catches, 490 yds, 4 TDs
22 Mike Gesicki Miami Dolphins 42 catches, 470 yds, 4 TDs
23 Noah Fant Denver Broncos 45 catches, 500 yds, 3 TDs
24 Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals 40 catches, 400 yds, 4 TDs
25 Jason Witten Dallas Cowboys 49 catches, 440 yds, 2 TDs
26 T.J. Hockenson Detroit Lions 41 catches, 420 yds, 3 TDs
27 Gerald Everett Los Angeles Rams 37 catches, 390 yds, 3 TDs
28 Matt LaCosse New England Patriots 34 catches, 350 yds, 3 TDs
29 Ricky Seals-Jones Arizona Cardinals 30 catches, 320 yds, 2 TDs
30 Jesse James Detroit Lions 33 catches, 300 yds, 2 TDs
31 Jonnu Smith Tennessee Titans 26 catches, 290 yds, 2 TDs
32 Jordan Thomas Houston Texans 30 catches, 270 yds, 2 TDs
33 Luke Willson Oakland Raiders 29 catches, 270 yds, 2 TDs
34 Dawson Knox Buffalo Bills 30 catches, 250 yds, 2 TDs
35 Geoff Swaim Jacksonville Jaguars 29 catches, 260 yds, 1TD
36 Nick Vannett Seattle Seahawks 21 catches, 220 yds, 2 TDs
37 Hayden Hurst Baltimore Ravens 30 catches, 230 yds, 1 TD
38 Charles Clay Arizona Cardinals 20 catches, 200 yds, 1 TD
39 Jake Butt Denver Broncos 18 catches, 190 yds, 1 TD
40 Will Dissly Seattle Seahawks 19 catches, 180 yds, 1 TD

Dissenting Opinions:

O.J. Howard – ADP 4, our ranking is 2.

I have O.J. Howard penciled in as a safe, elite option at the tight end position.  Not only was O.J. Howard one of the most efficient tight ends last year and one of the leaders in air yards at the position, but he’s a young, complete tight end that is just starting to enter his prime.  We must also consider that Tampa Bay will have a poor defense and poor run game once again, which could lead to the Tampa Bay offense leading the league in pass attempts.  O.J. Howard will have to compete for targets with the likes of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but at the end of the day, you can see from my projections that I’m predicting Howard to be a touchdown machine and make the most of every opportunity that comes his way.

Vance McDonald – ADP 10, our ranking is 5.

There is a significant difference between the value I see in Vance McDonald versus the value that the general mock drafting public sees in him.  While Vance McDonald has been pegged as a popular sleeper pick this season, I go further than that by straight up predicting him to finish as a top five tight end.  I don’t see McDonald scoring many touchdowns because of how run heavy this Pittsburgh Steelers offense will likely be in the red zone.  However, I do expect McDonald to smash with a healthy serving of catches and yards between the 20’s.  We must consider that Jesse James and Antonio Brown have both left town.  That’s a lot of vacated targets.  And I certainly don’t see them all going to Donte Moncrief or James Washington.

Chris Herndon – ADP 16, our ranking is 9.

It’s time to fade the public once again because they are straight up snoozin’ on Chris Herndon.  Herndon was a usable fantasy asset last year as a rookie, despite the fact he had limited targets to work with.  With Sam Darnold and the New York Jets offense on the rise, and Herndon now established as the unquestioned #1 tight end on the Jets’ depth chart, there’s no reason he shouldn’t exceed expectations this season.  Herndon is likely to be Sam Darnold’s favorite target in the passing game.  At this point, I believe that Herndon is significantly undervalued in both dynasty and seasonal leagues.

Jordan Reed – ADP 20, our ranking is 10.

Whether it be Duane Haskins or Case Keenum starting for the Washington Redskins this season, someone will have to be catching their passes.  News flash:  Jordan Reed is not dead yet.  There seems to be a narrative floating around that Jordan Reed is washed.  But the fact of the matter is, Reed is only 29 years old.  Tight ends can be productive far beyond age 29, especially if they have the athleticism that Reed does.  Reed has shown what he can do when healthy and in the starting lineup.  Is there risk in drafting Jordan Reed?  Absolutely.  His injury history remains a valid concern.  But if you’re in the final rounds of your draft and haven’t taken a tight end yet, it makes sense to take a flier on Reed.  He should produce admirably as long as he stays healthy, and that makes him a high upside selection when compared to other tight ends that are available in the final rounds of your fantasy draft.

Jack Doyle – ADP 22, our ranking is 12 / Eric Ebron – ADP 7, our ranking is 16

People must be thinking that Jack Doyle died after last season.  Granted, he only played 6 games due to injury, and finished last season with a poor stat line.  In Doyle’s absence, Eric Ebron smashed expectations en route to a 13 touchdown season.  In my view, both tight ends will be utilized this season in the Colts’ offense.  And given that Andrew Luck could have a career year, this makes Jack Doyle an incredible value where he is currently being selected in fantasy drafts.  Meanwhile, Ebron’s touchdown total from last year looks unrepeatable.  I expect Ebron to receive less targets this year and for his efficiency to drop.  Obviously, Ebron is still worth rostering in most leagues, but he should be going much later in drafts than he is.

Zach Ertz – ADP 2, our ranking is 4.

While I still expect Zach Ertz to have a top five finish this season, that is more of a testament to how low the bar is for tight end production compared to other positions.  I’m projecting Ertz to only score three touchdowns this season, as teammate Dallas Goedert is emerging as a clear red zone threat that is a lock to vulture touchdowns.  The Eagles will likely use their running backs in the red zone a lot as well.  Ertz remains a beast between the 20’s, but a projected reduction in catches and touchdowns compared to last season has him lower in our rankings for this season.

T.J. Hockenson – ADP 13, our ranking is 26.

Shiny new toy syndrome is on full display here with T.J. Hockenson’s ridiculous ADP.  I get that Hockenson is a complete tight end prospect and that the Lions’ offense will likely perform better this season.  But come on.  The dude is still a rookie.  Rookie tight ends almost never produce enough to be relied on as a fantasy starter, especially at the beginning of the season.  Drafting Hockenson as your starting tight end in a seasonal league is a mistake.  Let’s not forget that Jesse James is now in Detroit and will get his targets as well.  If you’re going to gamble on a rookie tight end this season, you’re better off taking a flier on Noah Fant, because he is a move tight end and Joe Flacco is notorious for targeting his tight ends.

Benjamin Watson – ADP 29, we have him unranked.

Benjamin Watson is on the New England Patriots now and will try to fill the shoes of retired Rob Gronkowski.  However, Watson will serve a four game suspension due to performance enhancing drug use.  With Austin Seferian-Jenkins cut from the team, Matt LaCosse is now the projected starter.  As of right now, LaCosse could be selected in the final round of your fantasy draft.  If you believe that Tom Brady won’t be able to avoid targeting his tight end heavily, then the recommendation is to draft LaCosse and pickup Watson off of waivers in the event that he eventually leapfrogs LaCosse on the depth chart.  The more likely scenario, however, is that Tom Brady heavily targets his slot receivers in all areas of the field.  Rookie wide receiver N’Keal Harry will likely emerge as a preferred target for Brady when passing into the end zone.

 

 

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Fantasy Football Rankings 2019-2020: QB

By:  Justin Holden

1 Pat Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs
2 Andrew Luck Indianapolis Colts
3 Baker Mayfield Cleveland Browns
4 Russell Wilson Seattle Seahawks
5 Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
6 Drew Brees New Orleans Saints
7 Deshaun Watson Houston Texans
8 Carson Wentz Philadelphia Eagles
9 Cam Newton Carolina Panthers
10 Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons
11 Matthew Stafford Detroit Lions
12 Philip Rivers Los Angeles Chargers
13 Mitch Trubisky Chicago Bears
14 Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys
15 Jameis Winston Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16 Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens
17 Tom Brady New England Patriots
18 Jared Goff Los Angeles Rams
19 Kirk Cousins Minnesota Vikings
20 Jimmy Garoppolo San Francisco 49ers
21 Ben Roethlisberger Pittsburgh Steelers
22 Derek Carr Oakland Raiders
23 Sam Darnold New York Jets
24 Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals
25 Marcus Mariota Tennessee Titans
26 Josh Allen Buffalo Bills
27 Andy Dalton Cincinnati Bengals
28 Nick Foles Jacksonville Jaguars
29 Josh Rosen Miami Dolphins
30 Case Keenum Washington Redskins
31 Joe Flacco Denver Broncos
32 Eli Manning New York Giants

Key Differences – LSO Rankings vs Average Draft Position (ADP)

Baker Mayfield – Has an ADP of 5 but I have him ranked at 3.  With a season of NFL experience under his belt now, and an offense loaded with play makers such as the the newly acquired Odell Beckham Jr, I expect Mayfield to have a Pat Mahomes style breakout in his second season.  Ultimately I think AFC North defenses (minus the Bengals) will find a way to put a cap on Mayfield’s upside, preventing him from finishing as the #1 QB.  But he’s for damn sure going to get close.

Matthew Stafford – Has an ADP of 23 but I have him ranked at 11.  Stafford is coming off of a poor season where he threw just 21 passing touchdowns.  But ultimately, we are talking about a player who has finished as a top ten quarterback multiple times over the course of his career and more often than not returns value on his draft position.  Judging by Stafford’s current ADP, he will return value on his draft position in a big way.  Fundamentally, I do not see a huge difference between Stafford and similar pocket passers such as Ryan and Rivers.  This is why I have them all ranked similarly.  Expect a bounce back season for the Lions’ offense.

Mitch Trubisky – Has an ADP of 19 but I have him ranked at 13.  Trubisky missed two games last season and still finished as QB15.  Trubisky showed that he is capable of putting up monster games, like the one against Tampa Bay where he threw for six passing touchdowns.  Other than the loss of Jordan Howard, who underwhelmed last season, not much has changed for the Chicago Bears offense.  Barring injury, I see no reason why Trubisky’s production would take a dip compared to last season.

Ben Roethlisberger – Has an ADP of 13 but I have him ranked at 21.  Roethlisberger is coming off of a huge season, there’s no doubt about it.  Despite throwing double digit interceptions, his 31 passing TD’s and 5,000+ passing yards returned great value for his fantasy owners.  So why am I so low on Big Ben this year?  The loss of Antonio Brown will hurt.  And every indication right now is that the Pittsburgh Steelers will be going to a run heavy offense this season.  Roethlisberger is 37 and has taken a beating over his career due to his style of play.  He’s always an injury risk, and I’d be shocked if he didn’t retire by the end of this season.

Tom Brady – Has an ADP of 14 but I have him ranked at 17.  I believe I’m actually being generous with my Tom Brady ranking because I have seen other websites rank him as low as 20.  Let’s face it, Brady’s team won the super bowl last season, but they did it without him throwing a touchdown pass.  Tom Brady is the oldest starting quarterback in the league.  Rob Gronkowski retired in the offseason.  Brady did not finish as a top ten quarterback last season and I see no catalyst for him to do so this season.  While Brady seems determined to wage war with Father Time, I suggest you let someone else draft him, as he will probably go even higher than his current ADP as we get closer to the start of the season.

Kirk Cousins – Has an ADP of 12 but I have him ranked at 19.  As much as I’d like to move Cousins up in my rankings, I just can’t do it.  Yes, he has Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs at his disposal, and both are excellent receivers.  However, I just don’t see game script allowing Cousins to be a big time fantasy quarterback.  The Minnesota Vikings have a strong defense, and Dalvin Cook is going to get his carries.  The way this team is built, I just don’t see them airing it out enough to make Cousins a huge factor in fantasy.  Significant injuries on the Vikings defense or to Cook would provide a catalyst for Cousins to air it out more and finish with more fantasy points, but this is not something that I am betting on.